Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

No update on new fundraising through debt or equity was disclosed. The company stated they will inform investors at the right opportune time regarding any such plans. Current guidance includes maintaining working capital and consolidated debt at present levels, without mentioning fresh fundraising. The promoter contribution in a JV project increased slightly, reducing debt somewhat, but overall project cost remained the same. No extra costs incurred on credit, indicating stable financial management. Other income includes interest from QIP funds parked temporarily in liquid funds, expected to g

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

The company aspires for a consolidated volume growth of 15% to 20% annually, supported by both domestic and export markets. Export sales are expected to increase by at least 200 basis points in the revenue mix this year, with better realizations and margins compared to domestic sales. Gross margin sustainable near 50% with potential for slight improvement due to favorable export mix. EBITDA margins expected to improve by 100 to 150 basis points at the consolidated level going forward. The company targets a 60% automotive and 40% non-automotive revenue mix over the next 3 to 5 years, wi

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

Ramkrishna Forgings aims for a consolidated volume growth of 15% to 20% in FY25, supported by a strong order backlog. The cold forging capacity, expected to be operational from Q1 FY25, is fully booked with orders. The Vande Bharat train set order is for 32 train sets over 2 years, with potential expansion to 100-150 sets, likely extending bookings up to 2029. The company’s order book includes a strategic USD 220 million contract over 10 years in the light vehicle segment across North America. JMT Auto’s forging and machining divisions starting production from May-July with expected revenue be

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

Proposal to add six-cylinder crankshaft machining facility at ACIL with an additional 20,000 metric tonnes capacity, valued at about INR 300 Crores; included in subsidiary capex guidance, no extra capex beyond that expected. Standalone capex for current/future year around INR 400+ Crores, covering capacity additions, Mexico plant setup, and brownfield expansions. Mexico plant currently non-operational, expected to generate INR 8-10 Crores revenues this year, with significant ramp-up next year. Cold forging capacity of 25,000 tonnes expected to ramp up fully by FY26-FY27, targeting INR 25

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

The company aspires to achieve 15% to 20% volume growth overall in the coming year. Export sales are expected to increase by at least 200 basis points in the sales mix, improving realization and margin. Domestic market growth is forecasted at 10% to 12% over the next year, with market stabilization underway. For the next 3 years, export and domestic revenue mix is expected to approach 50:50, with exports offering better margins. The cold forging capacity planned to ramp up by FY '26-FY '27, targeting INR 250 Crores revenue at full utilization. Non-automotive segment is expected to grow to 40%

IN US

Ramkrishna Forgings LtdQ1 FY25

Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹727P/E: 112.0Market Cap: ₹12.9K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3

→The company aspires to achieve 15% to 20% volume growth overall in the coming year.
→Export sales are expected to increase by at least 200 basis points in the sales mix, improving realization and margin.
→Domestic market growth is forecasted at 10% to 12% over the next year, with market stabilization underway.
→For the next 3 years, export and domestic revenue mix is expected to approach 50:50, with exports offering better margins.
→The cold forging capacity planned to ramp up by FY '26-FY '27, targeting INR 250 Crores revenue at full utilization.
→Non-automotive segment is expected to grow to 40% of revenue in 3 to 5 years, from current levels, driven significantly by railway orders.
→Passenger vehicle (PV) segment expected to reach double-digit percentage revenue within two years.
→Subsidiaries and acquisitions expected to contribute to 15% to 20% volume growth in consolidated numbers.

Margin guidance

Category 2

→The company aspires for a consolidated volume growth of 15% to 20% annually, supported by both domestic and export markets.
→Export sales are expected to increase by at least 200 basis points in the revenue mix this year, with better realizations and margins compared to domestic sales.
→Gross margin sustainable near 50% with potential for slight improvement due to favorable export mix.
→EBITDA margins expected to improve by 100 to 150 basis points at the consolidated level going forward.
→The company targets a 60% automotive and 40% non-automotive revenue mix over the next 3 to 5 years, with non-auto segments (railway, mining, oil & gas) contributing significant growth.
→Non-auto business has better margins and is expected to drive margin expansion.
→Net Profit After Tax grew 38% YoY in FY24, indicating strong earnings momentum.
→Full ramp-up of new capacities (cold forging, Mexico plant) expected by FY26 supporting revenue and profit growth.

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Fundraise plans

→No update on new fundraising through debt or equity was disclosed.
→The company stated they will inform investors at the right opportune time regarding any such plans.
→Current guidance includes maintaining working capital and consolidated debt at present levels, without mentioning fresh fundraising.
→The promoter contribution in a JV project increased slightly, reducing debt somewhat, but overall project cost remained the same.
→No extra costs incurred on credit, indicating stable financial management.
→Other income includes interest from QIP funds parked temporarily in liquid funds, expected to go down as funds are utilized, alongside a reduction in finance costs.

Order book

Yes

→Ramkrishna Forgings aims for a consolidated volume growth of 15% to 20% in FY25, supported by a strong order backlog.
→The cold forging capacity, expected to be operational from Q1 FY25, is fully booked with orders.
→The Vande Bharat train set order is for 32 train sets over 2 years, with potential expansion to 100-150 sets, likely extending bookings up to 2029.
→The company’s order book includes a strategic USD 220 million contract over 10 years in the light vehicle segment across North America.
→JMT Auto’s forging and machining divisions starting production from May-July with expected revenue between INR 100-150 Crores for the full year.
→Multitech Auto and ACIL subsidiaries are on track, targeting INR 525 Crores and INR 125 Crores revenue respectively.
→Mexico plant for PV segment equipment setup is underway; INR 8-10 Crores expected revenue this year, increasing substantially next year.

Capex plans

Yes

→Proposal to add six-cylinder crankshaft machining facility at ACIL with an additional 20,000 metric tonnes capacity, valued at about INR 300 Crores; included in subsidiary capex guidance, no extra capex beyond that expected.
→Standalone capex for current/future year around INR 400+ Crores, covering capacity additions, Mexico plant setup, and brownfield expansions.
→Mexico plant currently non-operational, expected to generate INR 8-10 Crores revenues this year, with significant ramp-up next year.
→Cold forging capacity of 25,000 tonnes expected to ramp up fully by FY26-FY27, targeting INR 250 Crores topline revenue.
→JV investment for railway wheels totals about INR 210-240 Crores over next 2 years, with some spillover from FY24.
→Maintenance capex estimated around INR 40-50 Crores annually.
→Management consulting engagement ongoing for about 18 months aimed at operational improvements (specifics undisclosed).

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