Ramkrishna Forgings LtdQ2 FY25
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd Q2 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹727P/E: 112.0Market Cap: ₹12.9K Cr
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 5 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Ramkrishna Forgings expects volume growth of 15% to 20% for FY '25, driven by strong order book visibility and new order wins.
- →Revenue growth is guided to be in line with volume growth, considering raw material price pass-through.
- →Export revenue has seen improvement due to new product mix and customer additions, with realizations expected to remain stable.
- →Domestic revenue showed a 3% decline due to raw material price decreases and lower offtake, but is expected to stabilize.
- →Multitech Auto is expected to grow 15% to 20% with EBITDA margin improvement of 100 to 200 basis points.
- →The ramp-up of subsidiaries like Ramkrishna Casting Solutions Limited (formerly JMT Auto), ACIL, and Multitech Auto is progressing, contributing to margin expansion and revenue growth.
- →The Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture project is on track for first production in FY '26, expected to add to future revenues.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Revenue growth guidance for FY '25 is 15% to 20% in volume terms.
- →EBITDA margin expected to improve by 100 to 200 basis points at Multitech Auto subsidiary.
- →Consolidated EBITDA margin stands around 23% and management is confident of sustaining 23%+ margins going forward.
- →Subsidiaries, including Multitech, ACIL, and Ramkrishna Casting Solutions, are ramping up operations contributing to margin improvements.
- →New order inflows totaling INR 1,679 Crores provide strong revenue visibility over next 3-4 years.
- →Ramkrishna Titagarh JV project expected to start production by FY '26 end, adding to future revenues.
- →Net profit after tax for Q1 FY '25 was INR 73.1 Crores; growth expected with operational efficiencies and order ramp-up.
- →Management optimistic about continuing operational efficiencies and cost management to drive profits higher.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →As of Q1 FY'25, there is no indication of new fundraising through debt or equity.
- →Gross and net debt increased by approximately INR 100 Crores on a consolidated basis due to investments in subsidiaries.
- →Debt levels are expected to remain at the FY'24 levels by the end of FY'25, with no increase planned.
- →Capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged: about INR 500 Crores for Ramkrishna Forgings standalone, INR 135 Crores for subsidiaries, and around INR 100 Crores investment in the Ramkrishna Titagarh JV project.
- →No mention of fresh equity fundraising or debt issuance plans during the call.
- →The company has substantial unutilized bank lines and prefers to keep these rather than holding large cash balances on its books.
Order book
Yes- →Current order inflow for Q1 FY '25 is approximately INR 1,679 Crores.
- →Breakdown by region and segment:
- → - North America: INR 526 Crores (CV: INR 201 Crores, LV: INR 109 Crores, EV: INR 16 Crores, Non-auto: INR 200 Crores)
- → - Europe: INR 287 Crores (mostly CV, EV ~1%)
- → - India: INR 442 Crores (CV: INR 362 Crores, Non-auto: INR 80 Crores)
- → - Railway segment: INR 284 Crores (undercarriage and other items)
- → - Rest of the world: INR 140 Crores (CV market)
- →Total order book stands at over INR 1,200 Crores executable over 4 years.
- →Expected annual executable order value: approximately INR 300+ Crores starting next year.
- →Orders primarily spread across automotive CV, LV, EV segments, non-auto sectors, and railways.
Capex plans
Yes- →Full-year capex for FY '25 is guided at around INR 500 Crores for Ramkrishna Forgings standalone.
- →Additional investment in subsidiaries is expected to be about INR 135 Crores.
- →Investment in the Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture project is around INR 100 Crores.
- →No changes have been made to these investment plans — the company confirms to continue with this guidance.
- →The total project cost for the Ramkrishna Titagarh joint venture has increased from an earlier estimate of INR 1,250-1,300 Crores to around INR 1,800 Crores currently.
- →Acquired Resortes Libertad in Mexico to establish a legal entity quickly for starting manufacturing operations in Mexico, indicating a strategic move for geographic expansion.
- →Subsidiaries like Ramkrishna Casting Solutions (previously JMT Auto) have started operations and continue to ramp up.
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